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Political Analysis Advance Access originally published online on July 21, 2007
Political Analysis 2007 15(4):406-427; doi:10.1093/pan/mpm016
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© The Author 2007. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Political Methodology. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Simulating Models of Issue Voting

Stuart Elaine Macdonald and George Rabinowitz

Department of Political Science, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3265
e-mail: macdonald{at}unc.edu

Ola Listhaug

Department of Sociology and Political Science, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway
e-mail: olal{at}svt.ntnu.no

e-mail: rabinowitz{at}unc.edu (corresponding author)

How should one analyze data when the underlying models being tested are statistically intractable? In this article, we offer a simulation approach that involves creating sets of artificial data with fully known generating models that can be meaningfully compared to real data. The strategy depends on constructing simulations that are well matched to the data against which they will be compared. Our particular concern is to consider concurrently how voters place parties on issue scales and how they evaluate parties based on issues. We reconsider the Lewis and King (2000) analysis of issue voting in Norway. The simulation findings resolve the ambiguity that Lewis and King report, as voters appear to assimilate and contrast party placements and to evaluate parties directionally. The simulations also provide a strong caveat against the use of individually perceived party placements in analyses of issue voting.


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