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Political Analysis, 12:1
© Society for Political Methodology 2004; all rights reserved

Estimating Latent Structure Models with Categorical Variables: One-Step Versus Three-Step Estimators

Annabel Bolck

Netherlands Forensic Institute, 2288 GD Rijswijk, The Netherlands
e-mail: a.bolck{at}nfi.minjus.nl

Marcel Croon and Jacques Hagenaars

Department of Statistics and Methodology, Faculty of Social Sciences, Tilburg University, 5000 LE Tilburg, The Netherlands
e-mail: m.a.croon{at}uvt.nl
e-mail: jacques.a.hagenaars{at}uvt.nl

We study the properties of a three-step approach to estimating the parameters of a latent structure model for categorical data and propose a simple correction for a common source of bias. Such models have a measurement part (essentially the latent class model) and a structural (causal) part (essentially a system of logit equations). In the three-step approach, a stand-alone measurement model is first defined and its parameters are estimated. Individual predicted scores on the latent variables are then computed from the parameter estimates of the measurement model and the individual observed scoring patterns on the indicators. Finally, these predicted scores are used in the causal part and treated as observed variables. We show that such a naive use of predicted latent scores cannot be recommended since it leads to a systematic underestimation of the strength of the association among the variables in the structural part of the models. However, a simple correction procedure can eliminate this systematic bias. This approach is illustrated on simulated and real data. A method that uses multiple imputation to account for the fact that the predicted latent variables are random variables can produce standard errors for the parameters in the structural part of the model.


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