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Political Analysis, 11:1
© 2003 by the Society for Political Methodology


Replications and Extensions

The Coefficient of Party Influence

Keith Krehbiel

Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305-5015, Center for the Study of Democratic Politics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544 e-mail: krehbiel{at}stanford.edu

In a 2000 article in American Journal of Political Science, James Snyder and Tim Groseclose develop and apply an innovative method for detecting and estimating the frequency and magnitude of party influence in congressional roll call voting. This paper presents a framework for assessing the coefficient that the authors interpret as "party influence." The analysis reveals that, and shows why, the coefficient manifests two troublesome characteristics. The coefficient cannot discriminate between disparate types of party influence because the mapping between types of partison influence and signs of the coefficient is not one-to-one. Similarly, the coefficient has a responsiveness problem because a marginal increase in one party's influence can cause the estimate of the coefficient to increase, decrease, or remain constant. Because the literature on parties in Congress emphasizes majority-party strength, the inability of the coefficient to isolate party-specific effects is a serious drawback in the ongoing hunt for genuine party discipline.


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